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AI IN SOCIETY

South Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa · lower risk group · 12 indicators, 2010–2022

Ranked #17 of 24 on the AWPRI, with a score of 0.420 in 2022. A higher score means heavier animal use, weaker welfare governance, or research tilted further towards automation.

Risk Profile

AWPRI 20220.420
Rank#17 / 24
L1 · Animal-use exposure0.403
L2 · Governance capacity0.370
L3 · AI amplification0.487
Range 2010–20220.351–0.436
Radar chart of South Africa's score on each of the 12 AWPRI variables in 2022, drawn against the 24-country mean.123456789101112

Variable scores in 2022. The solid shape is South Africa and the dashed shape is the 24-country mean. A higher score means heavier exposure, weaker governance or a stronger tilt towards automation. The range chip above gives the highest and the lowest composite score this country has recorded across 2010–2022, which describes the country's own history and is not a confidence interval. Point at any vertex to see the variable's name and scores. The numbered key is below the chart.

  1. 1Farmed animals slaughtered per capita
  2. 2Aquatic animal share of flesh supply
  3. 3Meat supply per capita
  4. 4Animal share of protein supply
  5. 5Animal welfare legislation, stock
  6. 6Rule of law
  7. 7Animal welfare legislation, five-year flow
  8. 8Civic space
  9. 9Civil liberties
  10. 10AI research intensity
  11. 11Precision agriculture research intensity
  12. 12Animal welfare research base

Variable Breakdown

L1. Animal-use exposure (four variables)
Farmed animals slaughtered per capitapanel mean 0.488 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.0833 · direct welfare pathway0.473
Aquatic animal share of flesh supplypanel mean 0.416 · lower third of the panel · weight 0.0833 · direct welfare pathway0.058
Meat supply per capitapanel mean 0.570 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.0833 · direct welfare pathway0.458
Animal share of protein supplypanel mean 0.744 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.0833 · direct welfare pathway0.624
L2. Governance capacity (five variables)
Animal welfare legislation, stockpanel mean 0.433 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.0667 · direct welfare pathway0.463
Rule of lawpanel mean 0.327 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.0667 · indirect welfare pathway0.365
Animal welfare legislation, five-year flowpanel mean 0.605 · upper third of the panel · weight 0.0667 · direct welfare pathway0.753
Civic spacepanel mean 0.222 · lower third of the panel · weight 0.0667 · indirect welfare pathway0.101
Civil libertiespanel mean 0.224 · lower third of the panel · weight 0.0667 · indirect welfare pathway0.171
L3. AI amplification (three variables)
AI research intensitypanel mean 0.501 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.1111 · assumed welfare pathway0.375
Precision agriculture research intensitypanel mean 0.369 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.1111 · assumed welfare pathway0.440
Animal welfare research basepanel mean 0.555 · middle third of the panel · weight 0.1111 · assumed welfare pathway0.648

Each bar is this country's score on the 0 to 1 scale, which is the country's position between the lowest and the highest value any of the 24 countries recorded in 2022. A score of 1 means that no country in the panel stood further along that variable in that year, and does not mean that the underlying quantity reached any absolute maximum. The welfare pathway states how the variable connects to animal welfare. A direct variable counts animals or counts the law that covers animals. An indirect variable measures a condition under which welfare law is enforced or contested. An assumed variable is a proxy whose link to welfare outcomes this project asserts and has not demonstrated. The full statement for each variable is in the codebook.

What Moves This Country's Score

Pushing the score up

  • Animal welfare research basescore 0.648 vs panel mean 0.555 · weight 0.1111 · +0.0103 of the composite · L3. AI amplification
  • Animal welfare legislation, five-year flowscore 0.753 vs panel mean 0.605 · weight 0.0667 · +0.0099 of the composite · L2. Governance capacity
  • Precision agriculture research intensityscore 0.440 vs panel mean 0.369 · weight 0.1111 · +0.0078 of the composite · L3. AI amplification

Pulling the score down

  • Aquatic animal share of flesh supplyscore 0.058 vs panel mean 0.416 · weight 0.0833 · −0.0298 of the composite · L1. Animal-use exposure
  • AI research intensityscore 0.375 vs panel mean 0.501 · weight 0.1111 · −0.0141 of the composite · L3. AI amplification
  • Animal share of protein supplyscore 0.624 vs panel mean 0.744 · weight 0.0833 · −0.0100 of the composite · L1. Animal-use exposure

Each figure is the variable's weight in the index multiplied by its distance from the 24-country mean in 2022. Added up over all 12 variables they come to -0.0437, which is exactly South Africa's distance from the panel's mean composite of 0.464. Because the weights differ between layers, a variable can be further from the mean than another and still move the score less. These figures are accounting terms and not causal estimates. The figures state which components of the index this country's score is made of, and do not state what would happen to animals if the underlying quantity changed.

Historical Trajectory and 2030 Trend

The solid line is the observed AWPRI score, plotted at one point per year. The dashed line is an ordinary least squares trend fitted to those 13 points and extended to 2030. The shaded band is the 95 per cent prediction interval around that fitted line, and is not an interval on the index itself. Where the slope is not distinguishable from zero the projection carries no information about direction and the chart says so. Point anywhere on the chart for year-by-year values.